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    Back to blogReport · 1 April 2026 · 7 min

    Aftermarket 2026: 1.9 bn cars, new threats and opportunities

    Aftermarket 2026: 1.9 bn cars, new threats and opportunities

    1.9 bn

    Cars in operation globally

    9.2 yrs

    Avg. car age (EU)

    45%

    ADAS-equipped cars

    +4.2%

    Aftermarket growth

    S&P Global reports there are now 1.9 billion cars in operation globally. Combined with rising ADAS technology, tariff disruptions and EV growth, the aftermarket is under simultaneous pressure on several fronts.

    The big picture: older cars, more service

    The dominant trend is clear: consumers are keeping their cars longer. The European average is now 9.2 years. That creates a two-tier aftermarket:

    • Older cars = more maintenance and repair needs
    • Newer cars = more EVs with fewer service parts
    • The result: vastly different demands in the same market

    5 megatrends shaping the 2026 aftermarket

    1. ADAS creates new service categories

    45% of cars in operation now have ADAS. Calibration after windscreen replacement or body work requires specialist equipment, a new, high-margin service category.

    2. Tariff disruptions affect spare parts

    Global tariff changes affect prices and availability. Local stocks matter more than ever.

    3. Data and connectivity change the customer relationship

    Modern cars send real-time data about component wear and fault codes. Dealers who can act on this data have a huge advantage.

    4. Independent dealers gain ground

    Independent dealers who invest in digital tools can compete with, and often beat, brand dealers on service.

    5. Subscription-based service grows

    A fixed monthly price for maintenance, tyres and assistance packages gives predictable revenue and closer customer relationships.

    The invisible threat: OEM data lockdown

    Car manufacturers restrict access to vehicle data for independent dealers. The EU is working on legislation (Data Act), but implementation lags.

    What can independent dealers do?

    1. Invest in ADAS equipment, Calibration kit pays itself back quickly.
    2. Build digital service contracts, Subscription models create predictable revenue.
    3. Use the CRM for proactive service, Automate reminders based on mileage and vehicle data.
    4. Diversify the parts inventory, Focus on components relevant for both EVs and ICE cars.
    5. Watch EU regulation, The Data Act can open new opportunities.

    The aftermarket isn't dead, it's being transformed. Dealers who invest in digital infrastructure will stand strongest.